618 E-Commerce Results 2026: Why China's Shopping Festival Signals the End of Price Wars
618 Growth Cut in Half: The Price War Model Has Run Out of Steam
China's 618 shopping festival generated 934 billion RMB in total e-commerce sales in 2026, growing only 4.0% year-on-year—a dramatic slowdown compared to 20.9% growth in 2025. According to E-Commerce Intelligence's 618 report, platforms are increasingly reluctant to disclose total GMV figures, instead pivoting to structural metrics. This shift itself is a silent acknowledgment of growth momentum loss.
Consumer behavior is showing significant polarization: first-tier city users gravitate toward high-ticket smart home and outdoor equipment, while lower-tier markets are activated by cost-effective domestic products. This polarization means brands can no longer rely on a "one-size-fits-all national promotion" strategy.
Platforms Abolish Pre-Sale System: Spot Sales and Full-Price Protection Become Standard
In 2026, all major platforms abolished the pre-sale system, shifting to "spot sales" and "full-period price protection." According to Ebrun.com reporting, this change redirects competitive focus from price wars to service experience. For brands, the elimination of pre-sales means a hard test of inventory management capability—brands must prepare sufficient spot inventory in advance, or face GMV losses from stockouts.
Douyin E-Commerce upgraded its shipping insurance during 618, becoming an important differentiator. The improvement of shipping insurance significantly lowered consumer decision barriers and directly drove conversion rate improvements. Brands that neglect shipping insurance operations on Douyin will lose a significant portion of conversion orders in a highly competitive environment.
AliExpress 618 Brand Export Growth at 90%: Domestic Competition Logic Goes Global
During 618, AliExpress released its first-ever China brand export ranking, covering 10 major categories. According to Qie AliExpress reporting, brand transaction volume on AliExpress grew 90% year-on-year, with brand transaction penetration reaching nearly 40%. POCO and Xiaomi dominated the smartphone category, while Chinese sports brands Li-Ning, Xtep, and 361° maintained their top-three positions in exported sports apparel.
The 90% brand export growth on AliExpress confirms a critical trend: branding is the only path for Chinese e-commerce going global. White-label products relying purely on price competitiveness are being displaced by domestic brands with brand premium. This is the inevitable result of domestic e-commerce competition extending overseas.
Data Credibility Statement
Data sources: E-Commerce Intelligence "2026 618 E-Commerce User Experience and Merchant Complaint Data Report" (statistical period: June 1-18, 2026); Ebrun.com retail analysis (July 2026); Qie AliExpress 618 brand export report (July 1, 2026). Analysis method: cross-platform data cross-validation.
Sources
618 E-Commerce User Experience Report: https://so.html5.qq.com/page/real/search_news?docid=70000021_9696a470a9c17152
Ebrun.com Retail Analysis: https://www.ebrun.com/label/365126
AliExpress 618 Brand Export Report: https://so.html5.qq.com/page/real/search_news?docid=70000021_1286a44bcf992252
FAQ
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