Barclays data shows haircare outperforming other beauty categories as consumers protect small self-care purchases while pulling back on larger discretionary items. The pattern is familiar from previous downturns: when budgets tighten, shoppers keep the rituals that feel affordable and drop the ones that feel like projects. For beauty retailers and brands, the shift changes which shelf earns space, which claims earn trust, and which reviews actually influence a purchase decision.
Key Conclusions
First, the gain is a basket effect rather than a category boom. Haircare benefits when shoppers substitute a salon visit with an at-home treatment, and when they trade a premium skincare set for a shampoo that promises a visible result. haircare outperforming other beauty categories(Barclays data)Retailers that read the number as category growth will overstock; those that read it as substitution will adjust pack sizes and price points instead.
Second, review quality matters more in this category than star ratings. Haircare outcomes depend on hair type, water hardness and prior treatments, so a five-star review from a different hair profile can be actively misleading. Brands that publish usage context, such as hair type and frequency, see fewer returns and better repeat rates than brands that optimize only for average scores.
The substitution map behind the number
Three substitutions are visible in the data. Salon treatments are being replaced by at-home masks and serums. Premium skincare sets are being replaced by single-purpose haircare products with a clear claim. And multi-step routines are being replaced by two-step routines, which shifts demand toward formats that combine functions.
Each substitution has a different implication for shelf space. At-home treatments need education and sampling, single-purpose products need claim clarity, and combined formats need proof that the combination works. Treating all three as one growth story leads to a shelf that is full but not productive.
Pack size is the quiet variable
When budgets tighten, shoppers often stay in the category but move to a smaller pack or a lower price per unit. A brand that only tracks units sold will read the shift as growth, while revenue per shopper is flat or falling. Tracking both units and value per visit keeps the substitution visible.
Best Practices
For beauty retailers, three practices turn the shift into margin rather than inventory. Segment the shelf by hair type and concern instead of by brand family, so shoppers can self-select quickly. Ask for structured review attributes, including hair type and duration of use, at the point of review. And test small packs in the same planogram position as the full size, so the substitution is measured rather than assumed.
Structured reviews reduce returns
A review that records hair type, water hardness and weeks of use is far more useful than a star rating alone. It lets the next shopper judge relevance, and it gives the brand a diagnostic signal when a product underperforms for a specific segment. The cost is a slightly longer review form; the benefit is fewer returns and better targeting.
Put the claim next to the evidence
Haircare claims are easy to make and hard to verify. Placing a short evidence line beside the claim, such as a test description or a sample size, raises conversion among shoppers who are comparing two similar bottles. It also reduces the chance that a single viral complaint defines the product.
Common Mistakes
The first mistake is reading category growth into a substitution. When shoppers trade down within a category, unit growth can coexist with falling value, and a brand that expands distribution on the strength of units ends up with inventory it cannot sell at full price.
The second mistake is optimizing reviews for average score. A product with a 4.9 average built from low-context reviews converts worse than a 4.5 product whose reviews explain who it works for. Chasing the average tends to attract exactly the shoppers most likely to be disappointed.
What this means for content and search
Haircare is a category where shoppers ask long, specific questions, and those questions are increasingly answered by generative engines rather than by search results. A brand whose content addresses hair type, water hardness and treatment history is more likely to be cited in those answers than a brand that publishes only marketing copy.
That makes structured product facts a commercial asset. Ingredients, tested claims, suitable hair types and usage frequency should be consistent across the product page, the retailer feed and any third-party content, because inconsistency is exactly what causes an answer engine to skip a brand.
Consistency across feeds is measurable
Retailers can score supplier feeds on completeness and consistency across attributes, then feed that score back into assortment reviews. Brands that treat the feed as a data product rather than a formality see better placement in comparison modules and fewer delisted items.
Summary
Haircare's outperformance is a substitution story, not a boom. Shoppers are protecting small rituals and dropping larger projects, and the brands that respond with pack sizes, claim clarity and context-rich reviews capture the shift.The brands that capture it are the ones that make the trade-down legible, with pack sizes and claims that match the budget shoppers actually have.
The category also shows why structured facts matter. When the answer to a shopper's question is generated rather than listed, the brand with the most consistent, specific product data is the one that gets mentioned.When the answer is generated rather than listed, the brand with the most consistent and specific product data is the one that gets mentioned.
Data Sources
1. Barclays sees haircare gains as self-care spending holds
2. Elf Beauty CFO on tariffs and marketing spend
3. Elf, Wendy's and Gap lean on music marketing
FAQ
Why is haircare outperforming other beauty categories?
A: Shoppers substitute salon visits and multi-step routines with at-home treatments and single-purpose products.
Is this category growth or trade-down?
A: Mostly trade-down within the category, which means unit growth can coexist with flat or falling value per shopper.
Why do structured reviews matter?
A: Haircare results depend on hair type and water hardness, so context makes a review useful rather than misleading.
What pack sizes should retailers test?
A: Smaller packs placed in the same planogram position as the full size, so substitution is measured rather than assumed.
How should the shelf be organized?
A: By hair type and concern rather than by brand family, so shoppers can self-select quickly.
Why does feed consistency affect visibility?
A: Answer engines skip brands whose attributes conflict across the product page and retailer feed.
References
1. Barclays sees haircare gains as self-care spending holds










